Provider Revenue Impact Calculator.
Providers are focused on protecting and growing revenue through better retention, higher program completion rates, and ensuring every intake investment yields a full care cycle. Use the calculator to estimate annual revenue at risk from patient dropout and how CHESS Health can have a meaningful financial impact on business and clinical outcomes through sustained recovery engagement.
Estimated Annual Revenue Impact
These figures represent potential revenue protection based on organization specific data provided on tab one and published outcomes from programs using CHESS Health’s recovery engagement tools. Actual impact depends on program implementation following best practices. Outcomes are not guaranteed.
Calculation: MAT / OTP revenue at risk × 30% estimated retention improvement.
Calculation: IOP revenue at risk × 25% blended improvement rate (20% episode completion increase + 30% early dropout reduction).
Revenue from alumni referrals, patient recapture (return-to-use), and family support impact on retention — all part of the eRecovery suite of solutions — are not reflected in these calculations.
Calculations
Estimated annual attrition = census × dropout rate
Lost revenue per patient dropout = revenue per completed episode × (episode length ÷ 90-day benchmark)
Total risk = attrition × (lost revenue per patient dropout + intake cost)
Residential — Revenue at risk:
Estimated AMA exits = census × AMA discharge rate
Lost revenue per patient dropout (AMA) = revenue per completed episode × (1 − recovery rate)
Total risk = AMA exits × (lost revenue per patient dropout + intake cost)
MAT / OTP — CHESS Health impact:
Revenue protected = MAT revenue at risk × 30% estimated retention improvement
IOP — CHESS Health impact:
Revenue protected = IOP revenue at risk × 25% blended improvement rate (20% episode completion increase + 30% early dropout reduction)
Residential — CHESS Health impact:
Revenue protected = fewer AMA discharges (user-defined) × lost revenue per patient dropout (AMA)
National benchmarks & sources
| Input | Default | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Revenue per completed episode / Lost revenue per patient dropout | $2,325–$21,404 | French et al. (2008), Journal of Substance Abuse Treatment. MAT default: $5,720 (26 weeks × $220 Medicaid OTP bundled rate; Clemans-Cope et al., 2022). IOP default: $11,865 midpoint. Residential default: $9,766 (NDAS, 2022). |
| MAT 12-month dropout rate | 43% | SAMHSA (2022); DeLisle et al. (2026), JAMA Network Open — 61.2% retention at 30 days, 41.5% at 90 days, 27.5% at 180 days across 260,000+ Medicaid patients |
| IOP attrition rate | 50% | SAMHSA (2022); Blodgett et al. (2014) — 40–60% range; 30% withdraw within first 30 days |
| Residential AMA discharge rate | 17% | Garland et al. (1998); Billings et al. (2019) — national avg. 17%; range 3–51%; SUD patients 3× more likely to leave AMA |
| Residential episode revenue | $9,766 | National Center for Drug Abuse Statistics (NDAS, 2022) |
| AMA revenue recovery | 40% | Estimated partial billing recovery on AMA discharge |
| Episode benchmark | 90 days | DeLisle et al. (2026), JAMA Network Open — cohort of 260,000+ Medicaid patients across 1,138 OTPs |
| MAT intake cost | $350 | Program operational estimate |
| IOP intake cost | $300 | Program operational estimate |
| Residential intake cost | $450 | Program operational estimate |
| CHESS MAT retention improvement | 30% | CHESS Health contingency management case study (2026); 294% increase in behavioral health services |
| CHESS IOP improvement | 25% blended | 20% episode completion increase + 30% early dropout reduction; Hussey, Gearhart & Flynn (2017), Case Western Reserve University |
| CHESS return-to-care reduction | 24% | Oklahoma DMHSAS state contract study (CHESS Health White Paper); patients also stayed in treatment 37 days longer |